Al-Duhail vs Al-Sadd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
31.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
1º
1º
31
2º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
35 | 46 |
1º
|
63% | |
|
|
2º
|
31 | 42 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 42 |
3º
|
39.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 36 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 30 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 29 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 27 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 27 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 27 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 26 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 22 |
11º
|
44.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 15 |
12º
|
88% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
63% | 13.5% |
|
AFC Champions League qualifying phase
|
26.5% | 39% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
9% | 33.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
1.5% | 14% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Duhail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
WAK
0 - 2
ADS
45%
24%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
AHL
0 - 2
ADS
25%
21%
55%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
ADS
2 - 1
QAT
69%
18%
14%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
ADS
1 - 0
UMM
59%
22%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ADS
4 - 0
RAY
44%
24%
32%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Sadd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
AIN
1 - 1
SAA
65%
18%
18%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
SAA
1 - 3
UMM
65%
19%
16%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
SAA
5 - 0
ARA
55%
22%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
QAT
1 - 5
SAA
26%
22%
52%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ALS
2 - 1
SAA
17%
20%
63%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |