Al-Duhail vs Al-Sadd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
31.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
1º
1º
1º
6
2º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
15 | 46 |
1º
|
64% | |
|
|
4º
|
6 | 37 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 37 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 33 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 33 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 29 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 29 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 29 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 25 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 24 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 21 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 20 |
12º
|
26% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
64% | 7% |
|
AFC Champions League qualifying phase
|
19.5% | 23.5% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
7.5% | 20.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
9% | 47.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Duhail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
WAK
0 - 2
ADS
45%
24%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
AHL
0 - 2
ADS
25%
21%
55%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
ADS
2 - 1
QAT
69%
18%
14%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
ADS
1 - 0
UMM
59%
22%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ADS
4 - 0
RAY
44%
24%
32%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Sadd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
AIN
1 - 1
SAA
65%
18%
18%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
SAA
1 - 3
UMM
65%
19%
16%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
SAA
5 - 0
ARA
55%
22%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
QAT
1 - 5
SAA
26%
22%
52%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ALS
2 - 1
SAA
17%
20%
63%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |