Al-Duhail vs Al-Gharafa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
27.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
12º
1º
32
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
100% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Duhail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ALS
2 - 3
ADS
33%
23%
44%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ADS
3 - 0
RAY
58%
20%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
GHA
1 - 1
ADS
36%
23%
40%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
ADS
3 - 2
ARA
57%
21%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
ADS
8 - 3
MAR
61%
19%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Gharafa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GHA
3 - 1
MAR
54%
22%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ARA
1 - 0
GHA
45%
22%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
GHA
1 - 1
ADS
36%
23%
40%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
ALS
0 - 0
GHA
37%
22%
41%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
GHA
4 - 3
RAY
41%
24%
35%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |