Al Dhafra vs Gulf Heroes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
7º
7º
33
10º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 66 |
3º
|
69% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 53 |
5º
|
76% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 52 |
6º
|
76% | |
|
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
87.5% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 34 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
56% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
10 | 15 |
16º
|
83% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
17º
|
83% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Dhafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
GUL
1 - 3
ALD
39%
24%
37%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
ALD
0 - 0
ALU
38%
25%
37%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
TAA
1 - 1
ALD
26%
23%
51%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ALD
1 - 1
UNI
48%
23%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
CIT
0 - 2
ALD
17%
20%
63%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Gulf Heroes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
GUL
0 - 0
GUL
47%
23%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
ALU
3 - 3
GUL
59%
21%
19%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
GUL
3 - 2
TAA
53%
22%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 0
GUL
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
GUL
2 - 1
CIT
72%
16%
12%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |