Al Bashair vs Sur Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
30.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
12º
14º
14º
28
4º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Bashair
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
ALN
1 - 0
BAS
57%
23%
20%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 1
ALI
65%
18%
17%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
ALN
2 - 2
BAS
47%
23%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
WEH
0 - 1
BAS
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 1
ALO
37%
26%
37%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sur Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
SUR
2 - 3
RUS
46%
27%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
SUR
3 - 2
ALN
50%
25%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
ALO
0 - 0
SUR
48%
26%
26%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
SUR
1 - 2
ALS
41%
27%
33%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 1
SUR
32%
22%
46%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |