Al Arabi vs Kazma SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
33.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
1º
2º
1º
3
6º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
12 | 18 |
1º
|
62% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 16 |
2º
|
51.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 13 |
3º
|
55.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 10 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 10 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
|
8º
|
3 | 9 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 7 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 7 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 6 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 6 |
10º
|
46% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 60.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 39.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Arabi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2024 |
ALK
3 - 0
ALA
46%
24%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 1
AFH
52%
25%
24%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
ALQ
1 - 1
ALA
36%
26%
38%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 0
ALS
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
ALN
0 - 4
ALA
25%
25%
51%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Kazma SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SMO
3 - 2
KAZ
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
ALS
0 - 2
KAZ
22%
24%
55%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
KHA
1 - 0
KAZ
22%
23%
55%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
KAZ
7 - 3
ALJ
60%
22%
19%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
KAZ
2 - 0
ALS
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |