Al-Arabi Doha vs Umm Salal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
8º
12º
10º
14
3º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 46 |
1º
|
63% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 42 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 42 |
3º
|
39.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 36 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 30 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 29 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 27 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 27 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 27 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 26 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
|
11º
|
14 | 22 |
11º
|
44.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 15 |
12º
|
88% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
81.5% | 46.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
16.5% | 44.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 9% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Arabi Doha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
ALI
5 - 0
ARA
57%
22%
22%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
ARA
0 - 5
ADS
42%
25%
33%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
ARA
3 - 0
ALS
61%
21%
19%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
QAT
0 - 0
ARA
28%
22%
50%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
GHA
3 - 1
ARA
46%
24%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Umm Salal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
UMM
0 - 3
AHL
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
UMM
2 - 0
RAY
34%
23%
42%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
WAK
3 - 0
UMM
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
UMM
0 - 0
KHO
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
GHA
3 - 1
UMM
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |