Al-Arabi Doha vs Al-Markhiya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
9.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
8º
5º
18
10º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
27 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Arabi Doha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
UMM
2 - 1
ARA
28%
26%
46%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
WAK
2 - 4
ARA
47%
25%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ARA
0 - 1
GHA
38%
24%
38%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
AHL
1 - 1
ARA
33%
25%
42%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ARA
2 - 2
SAA
35%
24%
41%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Markhiya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 2
GHA
12%
19%
69%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
AHL
1 - 4
MAR
69%
18%
13%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 2
SAA
10%
16%
74%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 2
QAT
33%
27%
41%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
ALS
2 - 0
MAR
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |