Al-Arabi Doha vs Al-Ahli SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
8º
5º
23
8º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
27 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Arabi Doha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
QAT
1 - 1
ARA
28%
23%
49%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ARA
2 - 0
WAK
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 0
QAT
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
RAY
1 - 0
ARA
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
QAT
2 - 1
ARA
33%
24%
44%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Al-Ahli SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
AHL
2 - 4
QAT
39%
27%
35%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
AHL
1 - 1
UMM
32%
23%
45%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ALM
1 - 2
AHL
55%
21%
24%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
AHL
4 - 2
ALM
32%
24%
44%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
UMM
3 - 1
AHL
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |