Al Ansar Beirut vs Salam Zgharta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ansar Beirut
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ALG
1 - 7
ALA
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
HIK
0 - 2
ALA
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
ALA
2 - 0
TRI
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ALA
2 - 0
SAF
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -3 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
HIK
1 - 7
ALA
41%
27%
33%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Salam Zgharta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
HLB
5 - 1
SAL
59%
21%
20%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SAF
0 - 0
SAL
69%
18%
12%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -5 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 0
ALM
33%
24%
43%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ALA
3 - 0
SAL
76%
15%
9%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
NAB
2 - 0
SAL
41%
24%
36%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |