Al Ansar Beirut vs Sagesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+69%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
5º
1º
7
7º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
27 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 24 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 12 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 10 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ansar Beirut
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ALA
3 - 0
ALA
66%
21%
13%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BOU
1 - 3
ALA
34%
26%
40%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
TAD
0 - 4
ALA
23%
24%
54%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SAF
1 - 1
ALA
32%
25%
43%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 1
ALG
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sagesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
BOU
2 - 1
HIK
38%
26%
35%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
TAD
2 - 1
HIK
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
SAF
1 - 3
HIK
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HIK
0 - 2
ALG
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
TRI
0 - 2
HIK
32%
26%
41%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |