AFC Champions League Elite Last 16
Global 2-1
Al-Ain vs Nasaf Qarshi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
AIN
1 - 0
WAH
56%
21%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
NAS
0 - 0
AIN
21%
22%
58%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 2
AIN
21%
20%
59%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2023 |
BAT
1 - 3
AIN
14%
21%
65%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
AIN
4 - 1
ALK
83%
12%
5%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Nasaf Qarshi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
NAS
0 - 0
AIN
21%
22%
58%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
NAS
0 - 2
TER
25%
23%
52%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
MAU
0 - 1
NAS
7%
18%
76%
|
66 | 24 | 42 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
SZE
2 - 0
NAS
31%
27%
42%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
FAK
1 - 2
NAS
46%
27%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |