Al-Ain vs Khorfakkan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
2º
5º
5º
3
9º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
9 | 15 |
1º
|
55% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 13 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 13 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 12 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
4 | 11 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 10 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 9 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 9 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 8 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 5 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 4 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
|
9º
|
3 | 4 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 3 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 3 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
9.5% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League qualifying phase
|
6.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
83.5% | 66% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 34% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ALI
2 - 3
AIN
28%
22%
50%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
AIN
0 - 2
BAT
76%
15%
8%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
EMI
2 - 3
AIN
16%
22%
63%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
AJA
2 - 1
AIN
33%
26%
42%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
AIN
2 - 4
WAS
43%
23%
34%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Khorfakkan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ALK
0 - 1
SHA
16%
20%
64%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
ALK
1 - 2
AJM
26%
22%
52%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
RAD
2 - 0
ALK
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ALK
2 - 2
ALI
27%
25%
48%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
WAH
1 - 1
ALK
79%
15%
7%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | +1 |