Al-Ain vs Khorfakkan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
2º
7º
3º
15
9º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
35 | 48 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
1º
|
37 | 47 |
2º
|
61% | |
|
|
4º
|
23 | 33 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 33 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 32 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 32 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 29 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 28 |
8º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 27 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
|
10º
|
15 | 20 |
10º
|
26% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 20 |
11º
|
26% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 18 |
12º
|
40% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 16 |
13º
|
55% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 7 |
14º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 95% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ALI
2 - 3
AIN
28%
22%
50%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
AIN
0 - 2
BAT
76%
15%
8%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
EMI
2 - 3
AIN
16%
22%
63%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
AJA
2 - 1
AIN
33%
26%
42%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
AIN
2 - 4
WAS
43%
23%
34%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Khorfakkan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ALK
0 - 1
SHA
16%
20%
64%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
ALK
1 - 2
AJM
26%
22%
52%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
RAD
2 - 0
ALK
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ALK
2 - 2
ALI
27%
25%
48%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
WAH
1 - 1
ALK
79%
15%
7%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |