Al-Ain vs Al Ittihad Kalba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
2º
7º
3º
21
6º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 49 |
1º
|
76.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 47 |
2º
|
76% | |
|
|
5º
|
23 | 33 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 33 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 32 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 32 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 29 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 28 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 27 |
9º
|
30.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 20 |
10º
|
30.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 20 |
11º
|
34% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 16 |
12º
|
42.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 7 |
14º
|
95.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
AIN
1 - 2
RAY
64%
19%
17%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
ALK
2 - 2
AIN
15%
20%
65%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
AIN
0 - 1
AJA
51%
22%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
AIN
4 - 1
ALN
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
AJM
4 - 2
AIN
24%
24%
52%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Al Ittihad Kalba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
ALI
2 - 1
SHA
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
WAS
1 - 1
ALI
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
WAS
2 - 0
ALI
61%
20%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
ALI
0 - 1
BAY
65%
20%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
ALN
3 - 2
ALI
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |