AFC Champions League Elite Semi-finals
Global 2-4
Al-Ain vs Al-Hilal SFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
AJM
0 - 4
AIN
23%
25%
52%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
AIN
2 - 0
WAS
75%
17%
9%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
ALH
3 - 0
AIN
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
ALI
1 - 3
AIN
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
AIN
2 - 0
ALI
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Hilal SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
ALF
1 - 2
ALH
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
ALH
3 - 0
ALK
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
ALH
3 - 0
AIN
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
ALH
2 - 1
NAJ
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
ALH
0 - 0
ALA
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |