Al Ahly SC vs Zamalek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
28.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ALA
3 - 4
PIR
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
PIR
1 - 0
ALA
45%
27%
29%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
ALA
0 - 2
ZAM
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
PET
1 - 3
ALA
33%
27%
41%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ALA
1 - 0
STA
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Zamalek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ZAM
3 - 0
ETO
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ETO
5 - 1
ZAM
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
ALA
0 - 2
ZAM
54%
22%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2015 |
SMO
0 - 0
ZAM
29%
25%
47%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ZAM
4 - 1
PIR
49%
25%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |