Al Ahly SC vs Zamalek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2002 |
ALA
3 - 3
RCA
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
JED
2 - 1
ALA
25%
25%
50%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
TPM
0 - 0
ALA
51%
22%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
ALA
1 - 0
TPM
63%
20%
18%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
RCA
2 - 1
ALA
38%
27%
36%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Zamalek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2003 |
ZAM
3 - 1
WYD
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2002 |
ZAM
1 - 0
RCA
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
RCA
0 - 0
ZAM
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
ZAM
2 - 0
TPM
65%
19%
16%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
TPM
1 - 1
ZAM
50%
23%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |