CAF Champions Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Al Ahly SC vs Young Africans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
ALA
2 - 0
ENP
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
YOU
1 - 1
ALA
30%
26%
44%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ELS
3 - 5
ALA
34%
31%
35%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
ALA
3 - 0
DER
94%
5%
1%
|
76 | 8 | 68 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ALA
2 - 0
REC
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -4 |
Matches
Young Africans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
YOU
1 - 0
MTI
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
YOU
2 - 1
MWA
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
YOU
1 - 1
ALA
30%
26%
44%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
YOU
3 - 1
KAG
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
YOU
1 - 1
APR
77%
15%
8%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -12 |