CAF Champions Final
Global 3-2
Al Ahly SC vs Wydad Casablanca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 0
CCF
52%
26%
23%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
GEI
0 - 2
ALA
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
ALA
2 - 0
ENP
46%
26%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 0
ESP
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
ESP
0 - 3
ALA
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Wydad Casablanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2023 |
WYD
2 - 0
MOG
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
DIF
1 - 2
WYD
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SUN
2 - 2
WYD
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
WYD
0 - 0
SUN
45%
25%
31%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SCC
1 - 3
WYD
46%
28%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |