CAF Champions
Global 3-2
Al Ahly SC vs USM Alger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2005 |
ISM
0 - 6
ALA
46%
26%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2005 |
USM
0 - 1
ALA
56%
21%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2005 |
ALA
2 - 1
HEL
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
ALA
6 - 0
SCV
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2005 |
GEI
1 - 3
ALA
46%
26%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2005 |
GCM
1 - 1
USM
24%
28%
48%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2005 |
USM
0 - 1
ALA
56%
21%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2005 |
USM
5 - 0
AOZ
76%
16%
9%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2005 |
BEL
0 - 3
USM
48%
27%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
AOZ
0 - 2
USM
30%
26%
44%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |