CAF Champions Quarter-finals
Global 3-0
Al Ahly SC vs Simba SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
SIM
0 - 1
ALA
27%
23%
50%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
NBE
4 - 3
ALA
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
ZAM
0 - 2
ALA
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 0
YOU
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
ALA
5 - 1
BAM
76%
17%
7%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
SIM
0 - 1
ALA
27%
23%
50%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
SIM
2 - 0
MFC
82%
12%
6%
|
60 | 19 | 41 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
SIM
3 - 1
SBS
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
COA
1 - 2
SIM
34%
30%
36%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
SIM
1 - 2
TAN
61%
23%
17%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |