Al-Ahly vs Raja Casablanca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
ALA
4 - 1
SMO
49%
26%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2021 |
GHA
2 - 3
ALA
20%
26%
55%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 0
MOK
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
ZAM
3 - 5
ALA
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 0
NBE
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Raja Casablanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
RCA
1 - 0
HAS
49%
28%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
OLY
1 - 0
RCA
35%
29%
36%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
RCA
2 - 1
SCC
47%
28%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
WYD
1 - 1
RCA
49%
25%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
RCA
0 - 0
ROZ
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |