Al-Ahly vs Medeama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
GOU
1 - 1
ALA
29%
27%
44%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
CCF
1 - 2
ALA
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
MOK
1 - 2
ALA
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ALA
3 - 1
ISM
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
ALA
3 - 0
ENP
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Medeama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ASA
1 - 0
MED
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MED
0 - 1
BER
40%
28%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
MED
1 - 0
NSO
39%
29%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ALL
0 - 2
MED
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
HEA
3 - 1
MED
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |