Al-Ahly vs Hearts of Oak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2000 |
ALA
3 - 1
JED
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
JED
1 - 1
ALA
26%
25%
49%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2000 |
ALA
3 - 1
LOB
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2000 |
HEA
2 - 1
ALA
39%
25%
36%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1994 |
ZAM
1 - 0
ALA
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Hearts of Oak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
HEA
2 - 0
LOB
60%
21%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
LOB
0 - 2
HEA
48%
24%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2000 |
JED
2 - 4
HEA
37%
25%
38%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2000 |
HEA
2 - 1
ALA
39%
25%
36%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |