CAF Champions Last 16
Global 2-1
Al Ahly SC vs Gunners FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
6.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2010 |
ALA
2 - 1
PET
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
ENP
1 - 2
ALA
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
GUN
1 - 0
ALA
12%
20%
69%
|
76 | 42 | 34 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2010 |
ASY
1 - 2
ALA
26%
29%
46%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
ALA
2 - 0
ALM
53%
26%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Gunners FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
GUN
1 - 0
ALA
12%
20%
69%
|
42 | 76 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
GUN
4 - 0
MAF
76%
16%
8%
|
42 | 7 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
MAF
1 - 2
GUN
15%
20%
65%
|
42 | 7 | 35 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
LEN
1 - 2
GUN
42%
26%
32%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
GUN
2 - 0
DYN
52%
25%
22%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |