Al Ahly SC vs El Gouna FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
16.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2011 |
PET
2 - 2
ALA
38%
28%
34%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
ALA
1 - 0
HEL
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
ENP
1 - 0
ALA
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
ALA
1 - 1
ESP
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
WYD
1 - 1
ALA
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
El Gouna FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
GOU
4 - 1
ISM
36%
29%
35%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
ENP
3 - 3
GOU
63%
23%
14%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ZAM
3 - 2
GOU
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
ASY
3 - 3
GOU
42%
24%
34%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
GEI
2 - 1
GOU
50%
28%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |