CAF Champions Last 16
Global 3-0
Al Ahly SC vs Ethiopian Coffee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.5%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
11.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.7%
3-0
16.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.2%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.1%
2.4%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ECO
0 - 0
ALA
7%
15%
77%
|
75 | 10 | 65 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
ALM
3 - 1
ALA
40%
29%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
ALA
2 - 0
MOK
63%
23%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
ELS
0 - 1
ALA
41%
29%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
ALA
3 - 1
SMO
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ethiopian Coffee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ECO
0 - 0
ALA
7%
15%
77%
|
10 | 75 | 65 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ECO
4 - 1
CNM
32%
23%
44%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
CNM
1 - 0
ECO
59%
20%
21%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |