Al Ahly SC vs ES Tunis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2015 |
PET
1 - 2
ALA
32%
29%
39%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
ALA
1 - 1
GOU
63%
23%
14%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2015 |
MIS
0 - 2
ALA
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
CLU
2 - 1
ALA
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2015 |
ALA
2 - 0
ELD
67%
21%
12%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
HEA
1 - 1
ESP
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
ESP
4 - 1
EGS
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ESP
4 - 0
HEA
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2015 |
CLU
1 - 0
ESP
49%
28%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
ESP
6 - 1
STA
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |