CAF Champions Semi-finals
Global 6-2
Al Ahly SC vs ES Setif analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
24.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
CCF
1 - 1
ALA
30%
28%
42%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 0
GEI
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
RCA
1 - 1
ALA
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 1
RCA
50%
24%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
ALM
1 - 0
ALA
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
ES Setif
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
OLY
1 - 4
SET
26%
30%
44%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
ESP
0 - 1
SET
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
SET
0 - 0
ESP
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2022 |
SET
2 - 1
ALG
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
SET
0 - 1
ORA
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |