Al-Ahly vs Ittihad El-Shorta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
24.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2010 |
GHA
2 - 0
ALA
38%
29%
33%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
EEE
0 - 1
ALA
42%
26%
33%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
ALA
1 - 0
GOU
58%
25%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
ISM
1 - 1
ALA
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
ALA
0 - 0
ZAM
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ittihad El-Shorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2010 |
ELS
2 - 1
HEL
50%
27%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
JAI
2 - 2
ELS
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2009 |
ELS
4 - 0
GHA
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
EEE
1 - 1
ELS
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2009 |
ELS
1 - 0
GOU
54%
26%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |