Al Ahly SC vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
2.5%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.2%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.4%
1-0
1%
2-1
0.8%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
2%
7.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.1%
90.4%
Win probability
3.4
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
13.6%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
20%
0-4
11.5%
1-5
3.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
15.8%
0-5
7.8%
1-6
2.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
10.2%
0-6
4.4%
1-7
1%
2-8
0.1%
-6
5.6%
0-7
2.2%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0%
-7
2.6%
0-8
0.9%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
1.1%
0-9
0.3%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.4%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2021 |
ADS
0 - 1
ALA
37%
25%
38%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
ASY
0 - 0
ALA
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
ALA
3 - 2
MOK
61%
23%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
NBE
0 - 0
ALA
16%
28%
56%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
ALA
4 - 1
EEE
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
HER
0 - 1
BYM
3%
8%
90%
|
96 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
BYM
4 - 1
HOF
81%
12%
7%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
S04
0 - 4
BYM
3%
8%
90%
|
96 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
AUG
0 - 1
BYM
3%
7%
90%
|
95 | 77 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
BYM
2 - 1
SCF
86%
10%
4%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | 0 |