Al Ahly SC vs Auckland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 0
NBE
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ZAM
0 - 3
ALA
46%
26%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2023 |
ALA
3 - 1
SMO
47%
25%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 0
ALM
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2023 |
ENP
0 - 2
ALA
35%
27%
37%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
FCB
1 - 1
AUC
39%
22%
39%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
AUC
0 - 1
JEO
18%
21%
61%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
CFR
1 - 0
AUC
3%
9%
87%
|
59 | 17 | 42 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
AUC
2 - 0
MEL
79%
14%
7%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
AUC
2 - 1
MIR
77%
14%
9%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |