Al Ahly SC vs Asyut Petroleum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
11.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+69%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
ALM
1 - 1
ALA
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
JAI
2 - 4
ALA
48%
26%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ALA
1 - 1
HEL
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
ELS
1 - 2
ALA
42%
27%
32%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
ALA
2 - 0
GHA
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Asyut Petroleum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
ELS
2 - 1
ASY
62%
24%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ASY
0 - 0
GHA
34%
30%
37%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
EEE
0 - 0
ASY
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
ASY
1 - 1
GOU
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2009 |
ASY
0 - 2
ETI
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |