Al-Ahly vs Asyut Petroleum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
11%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
ALA
1 - 0
ENY
60%
24%
17%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
ENY
0 - 0
ALA
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2008 |
ALA
4 - 0
PET
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
ALA
2 - 2
ASE
70%
20%
11%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
ALA
2 - 0
ZAM
45%
24%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Asyut Petroleum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2008 |
PET
2 - 1
ASY
70%
19%
10%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2008 |
ASY
3 - 2
MOK
34%
30%
36%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2008 |
ASY
2 - 1
ALE
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2008 |
JAI
1 - 0
ASY
66%
22%
12%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
ASY
0 - 1
HEL
25%
28%
47%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |