CAF Champions Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Al Ahly SC vs ASEC Mimosas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2006 |
ALA
1 - 1
ALT
63%
22%
14%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
ALA
1 - 0
ENP
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2006 |
ALA
4 - 0
ITT
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
JSK
2 - 2
ALA
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
ALA
2 - 1
CSS
53%
25%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
ASEC Mimosas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
HEA
0 - 0
ASE
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
ASE
4 - 0
PIR
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
ENY
0 - 0
ASE
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
ASE
3 - 0
ENY
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
ASE
3 - 0
HEA
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |