Al Ahly SC vs Aluminium Naq Hammadi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
14%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.1%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
4.4%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
CCF
1 - 2
ALA
35%
29%
36%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
ALA
3 - 2
ASY
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
ALA
2 - 0
GEI
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
ALA
4 - 1
ELD
68%
21%
12%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
GEI
0 - 4
ALA
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aluminium Naq Hammadi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
DSC
0 - 0
ALU
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
MIS
2 - 4
ALU
68%
21%
12%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
ALU
3 - 1
MAD
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
ELM
1 - 0
ALU
44%
28%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
ALU
0 - 2
ASA
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |