Al Ahly SC vs Al-Merreikh SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
10%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10%
3.4%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
PHA
1 - 4
ALA
17%
27%
56%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 1
SUN
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
ALA
4 - 0
MIS
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
ALH
0 - 0
ALA
6%
15%
79%
|
77 | 42 | 35 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
ALH
0 - 4
ALA
49%
23%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Merreikh SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
ALM
2 - 1
ALH
51%
23%
25%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
ALM
0 - 0
SUN
9%
20%
72%
|
43 | 74 | 31 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
KHA
0 - 3
ALM
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
ALM
3 - 0
POR
63%
21%
16%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ALM
1 - 2
ALH
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |