Al Ahly SC vs Al Ittihad Alexandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2016 |
ALA
1 - 2
ASE
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2016 |
ISM
1 - 2
ALA
42%
28%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
ZES
3 - 2
ALA
11%
19%
70%
|
75 | 43 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2016 |
ALA
2 - 3
ALM
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2016 |
ALA
2 - 0
ELD
67%
20%
14%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Al Ittihad Alexandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2016 |
ALI
0 - 1
SMO
44%
30%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 0
ALI
55%
27%
18%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
ALI
1 - 0
MIS
41%
29%
30%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2016 |
ENP
3 - 0
ALI
55%
26%
20%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
ALI
1 - 0
ELS
44%
30%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |