CAF Champions Last 16
Global 3-1
Al Ahly Benghazi vs Berekum Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahly Benghazi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
BER
1 - 1
AAB
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
FED
2 - 0
AAB
8%
16%
76%
|
68 | 14 | 54 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
AAB
4 - 0
FED
83%
13%
4%
|
68 | 14 | 54 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2013 |
AIT
2 - 0
AAB
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
ALN
0 - 2
AAB
25%
28%
47%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Berekum Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2014 |
BER
0 - 0
ALL
40%
30%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
BER
1 - 1
AAB
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
BER
3 - 0
HEA
38%
29%
33%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2014 |
BER
2 - 1
ASH
44%
31%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 0
BER
9%
17%
74%
|
67 | 12 | 55 | 0 |