Al Ahli Tripoli vs USM Alger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
40%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahli Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
TRI
4 - 2
CAP
81%
15%
5%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2017 |
CAP
2 - 4
TRI
15%
22%
63%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2017 |
TRI
0 - 0
ZAM
28%
26%
46%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
USM
3 - 0
TRI
63%
21%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
FUR
3 - 1
TRI
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
USM
2 - 0
ZAM
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2017 |
USM
5 - 2
SAO
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
SET
2 - 1
USM
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
USM
6 - 2
USM
62%
23%
15%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2017 |
ZAM
1 - 1
USM
53%
26%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |