CAF Champions Last 16
Global 3-1
Al Ahli Tripoli vs JS Kabylie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahli Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ALA
1 - 2
TRI
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
TRI
1 - 2
ALS
76%
16%
8%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
AAB
1 - 1
TRI
47%
28%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
JSK
1 - 2
TRI
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
POL
2 - 1
TRI
30%
25%
45%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
JS Kabylie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
BEJ
0 - 0
JSK
43%
30%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
JSK
1 - 2
TRI
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
JSK
2 - 0
BBA
53%
26%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
USM
0 - 1
JSK
47%
28%
26%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2009 |
JSK
2 - 1
BEL
56%
26%
18%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |