CAF Champions Quarter-finals
Global 0-2
Al Ahli Tripoli vs Etoile Sahel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
32.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahli Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
TRI
4 - 1
ALM
65%
22%
13%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
TRI
3 - 0
ALH
61%
22%
16%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +3 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
ZAM
2 - 2
TRI
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2017 |
TRI
1 - 1
USM
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
TRI
4 - 2
CAP
81%
15%
5%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Etoile Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
ZAR
0 - 1
ETO
44%
28%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
USM
0 - 1
ETO
32%
29%
40%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
ETO
3 - 0
GAB
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
CAB
1 - 2
ETO
40%
30%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 0
ETO
71%
19%
10%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |