Al Ahli Tripoli vs Etoile Sahel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahli Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
ETO
3 - 0
TRI
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2016 |
TRI
2 - 1
ALM
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2016 |
TRI
1 - 2
KAW
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2016 |
TRI
1 - 1
AMT
57%
25%
19%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2016 |
FUR
1 - 0
TRI
56%
24%
21%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Etoile Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
ETO
2 - 1
NIC
34%
26%
41%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
ETO
3 - 0
TRI
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2016 |
ETO
1 - 1
FUR
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
KAW
2 - 1
ETO
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
ASD
0 - 3
ETO
45%
28%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |