Al-Ahli SFC vs Najran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
11%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahli SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
ALQ
1 - 2
ALA
28%
27%
45%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ALA
1 - 2
ALH
52%
26%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
ALS
2 - 1
ALA
45%
25%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
ALA
2 - 0
ALI
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
ALA
1 - 0
ALR
71%
20%
10%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Najran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
NAJ
1 - 1
ALN
26%
26%
47%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ALW
2 - 0
NAJ
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2009 |
NAJ
0 - 0
ALQ
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
ALH
5 - 0
NAJ
64%
23%
13%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
NAJ
1 - 3
ALS
32%
28%
41%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |