Al-Ahli SFC vs Istiklol Dushanbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
5.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+81%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahli SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
ALR
1 - 2
ALA
27%
24%
49%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
ALW
1 - 2
ALA
24%
22%
54%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2020 |
ALA
3 - 1
ABH
76%
16%
9%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2020 |
ALH
3 - 1
ALA
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2020 |
ALF
0 - 1
ALA
24%
22%
55%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Istiklol Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2020 |
FKL
0 - 1
IST
74%
16%
10%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2019 |
CSK
3 - 2
IST
6%
13%
82%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
IST
2 - 1
KHU
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
PAN
2 - 4
IST
4%
10%
86%
|
53 | 23 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
IST
1 - 2
REG
89%
8%
3%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |