Al-Ahli SFC vs Esteghlal Tehran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahli SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
ALW
2 - 0
ALA
25%
24%
51%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2020 |
WAH
1 - 1
ALA
44%
24%
33%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
ALA
3 - 2
ALI
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
ADA
1 - 1
ALA
9%
19%
72%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
ALA
1 - 0
IST
83%
12%
5%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Esteghlal Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2020 |
ALS
1 - 1
EST
44%
25%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
PER
2 - 2
EST
36%
28%
36%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
EST
2 - 1
NAF
72%
19%
9%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
RAY
0 - 5
EST
36%
25%
40%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
EST
3 - 0
ALK
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |