Al-Ahli SFC vs Esteghlal Tehran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahli SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2010 |
ALA
1 - 2
ALH
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
ALS
2 - 2
ALA
52%
24%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
ALF
0 - 2
ALA
25%
24%
51%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
HAJ
2 - 3
ALA
18%
21%
60%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
ALN
1 - 1
ALA
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Esteghlal Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
EST
2 - 0
SMK
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
PER
2 - 1
EST
53%
25%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2010 |
EST
3 - 1
NAT
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
STE
0 - 2
EST
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2010 |
EST
2 - 2
TRA
64%
22%
15%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |