Al-Ahli SFC vs Damac FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
10º
5º
22
9º
17º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
46 | 74 |
1º
|
52% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 73 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 66 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 63 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 60 |
5º
|
35.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 54 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 49 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 47 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 44 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 44 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 43 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 38 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 38 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 36 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 34 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 32 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 30 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 29 |
18º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
21.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
78.5% | 99% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahli SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 0
PER
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
ALN
1 - 1
ALA
47%
23%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
ALF
1 - 0
ALA
45%
24%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ALA
2 - 0
ALO
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
ALH
1 - 1
ALA
43%
22%
35%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Damac FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
DHA
3 - 1
ALA
59%
24%
18%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
ALH
3 - 2
DHA
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
DHA
0 - 1
ALK
53%
26%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
DHA
3 - 1
BAT
66%
20%
15%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ALT
0 - 0
DHA
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |