Saudi King's Cup Last 16
Global 6-2
Al-Ahli SFC vs Al-Nassr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahli SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
ALA
2 - 2
ALN
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ALA
1 - 1
ALH
49%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
GHA
2 - 2
ALA
32%
23%
45%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
ALN
2 - 2
ALA
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ALF
1 - 0
ALA
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ALN
2 - 1
ALF
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
ALN
2 - 2
ALA
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
ALS
1 - 2
ALN
24%
26%
50%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
HAJ
0 - 1
ALN
23%
26%
51%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
NAJ
1 - 1
ALN
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |