Al-Ahli SFC vs Al-Nassr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahli SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2012 |
ALA
1 - 0
ALS
45%
26%
30%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
ALA
1 - 2
ALN
45%
24%
31%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2012 |
ALA
4 - 1
ALS
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2012 |
ALA
1 - 1
ALT
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
ALR
1 - 1
ALA
42%
26%
33%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 1
ALN
45%
25%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
ALA
1 - 2
ALN
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2012 |
ALT
2 - 4
ALN
32%
24%
44%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2012 |
ALR
0 - 2
ALN
38%
26%
37%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
ALN
0 - 0
ALF
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |