Al-Ahli SFC vs Al-Nassr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
27.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahli SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2012 |
SEP
2 - 1
ALA
34%
25%
40%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
ALA
2 - 2
ALH
56%
23%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
ALH
0 - 1
ALA
44%
24%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
ALA
3 - 0
LEK
74%
16%
10%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
ALF
0 - 3
ALA
37%
25%
39%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2012 |
ALF
1 - 0
ALN
40%
26%
35%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2012 |
ALN
2 - 0
ALF
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ALN
2 - 1
ALS
57%
23%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
ALS
1 - 2
ALN
50%
24%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
ALN
3 - 2
ALQ
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |